Monday, May 19, 2008

After 44 games, I'd say the Tigers are STUFFED

I did not get a chance to watch the Tigers yesterday, and that's a good, good thing. It's awful stuff, watching their hitters trying feebly to do some damage.
The more you watch, the more this team looks like a major crash waiting to happen. As good as he is at handling players and teams, I can't believe Leyland is going to last the season with this crew. They really are horrible, in terms of their approach on offense. Their first 44 games are just stunning. At 17-27, they are 10-games under.
Consider these numbers:

  • To reach .500 any time soon (like maybe around 47-47), they'll have to go 30-20 in the next 50 games; that's .600 baseball.

  • Let's say they can get hot and reach 47-47. At that point, they'd be at 94 games played, and they'd have to stay hot to reach 88-90 wins (likely for securing a playoff spot).

  • At 47-47, they'd face 68 games remaining.
  • With 68 games left, they'd have to go 41-27, 14 games over, for a .603 winning percentage, to reach 88 wins overall. To get to 88-74, at this point, seems an insurmountable task.
So, over the next 118 games, does anyone see the Tigers going 71-47? Neither do I. This season is OVER!

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